作者:VOSE, DAVID 出版社:JOHN WILEY & SONS INC 出版日期:2008年05月16日 語言:英文 ISBN:9780470512845 裝訂:精裝 內容簡介TOPRISK ANALYSIS CONCERNS ITSELF WITH THE QUANTIFICATION OF RISK, THE MODELING OF IDENTIFIED RISKS AND HOW TO MAKE DECISIONS FROM THOSE MODELS. QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS (QRA) USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION OFFERS A POWERFUL AND PRECISE METHOD FOR DEALING WITH THE UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY OF A PROBLEM. BY PROVIDING THE BUILDING BLOCKS THE AUTHOR GUIDES THE READER THROUGH THE NECESSARY STEPS TO PRODUCE AN ACCURATE RISK ANALYSIS MODEL AND OFFERS GENERAL AND SPECIFIC TECHNIQUES TO COPE WITH MOST MODELING PROBLEMS. A WIDE RANGE OF SOLVED PROBLEMS IS USED TO ILLUSTRATE THESE TECHNIQUES AND HOW THEY CAN BE USED TOGETHER TO SOLVE OTHERWISE COMPLEX PROBLEMS.
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